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1978
Galbraith,
J., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Technology and Organization
Design: A Managerial Assessment," Chapter One in
Studies in Operations Management, A. C. Hax (ed.),
North Holland Publishing Co., 1978, pp. 3-40. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Context Credibility and Format Bias
in Retrospective Judgment," Proceedings of the
American Institute for Decision Sciences, St. Louis,
October 1978, pp. 36-38.
1979
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "The Role of Statistical Knowledge in
Gambling Decisions: Moment versus Risk-dimension Approaches,"
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance,
Vol. 24, 1-17, 1979.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., and Kunreuther, H. C., "An Experimental
Study of Insurance Decisions," The Journal of
Risk and Insurance, Vol. 46, 4, 1979, pp. 603-618.
1980
Schoemaker,
J. A., Schoemaker, P. J. H., and Saukonnen, J. J., "Polysaccharide
Accumulation in the Cell Division Defective Mutant Escherichia
Coli 15T-R1," Microbios, 1980, 29, pp. 149-159.
Hershey,
J. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Risk Taking and
Problem Context in the Domain of Losses: An Expected
Utility Analysis," The Journal of Risk and Insurance,
Vol. 47, 1, 1980, pp. 111-132.
Hershey,
J. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Prospect Theory's
Reflection Hypothesis: A Critical Examination,"
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance,
25, 1980, pp. 395-410.
Schoemaker, P. J. H., "On the Indeterminacy of
von Neumann-Morgenstern Utility Functions," Proceedings
of the American Institute for Decision Sciences,
Las Vegas, November 1980, Vol. 2, pp. 208-210.
1981
Kunreuther,
H. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Decision Analysis
for Complex Systems: Integrating Descriptive and Prescriptive
Components," Knowledge: Creation, Diffusion,
Utilizations, Vol. 2, No. 3, March 1981, pp. 389-412.
Waid,
C. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "On the Fidelity
of Multiattribute Preference Representations: Some Analytical
Considerations," in Organizations: Multiple
Agents with Multiple Criteria, J. N. Morse (ed.),
Springer-Verlag, 1981, pp. 447-464.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Behavioral Issues in Multiattribute
Utility Modeling and Decision Analysis," in Organizations:
Multiple Agents with Multiple Criteria, J. N. Morse
(ed.), Springer-Verlag, 1981, pp. 338-362.
1982
Schoemaker,
P. J. H, and Waid, C. C., "An Experimental Comparison
of Different Approaches to Determining Weights in Additive
Utility Models," Management Science, Vol.
28, No. 2, Feb. 1982, pp. 181-196.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "The Expected Utility Model: Its Variants,
Purposes, Evidence and Limitations," Journal
of Economic Literature, Vol. 20, June 1982, pp.
529-563.
[Reprinted
in B. Caldwell (ed.), The Philosophy and Methodology
of Economics, Vol. II, Edward Elgar Publishing
Ltd., Cheltenham, UK, 1993, pp. 395-439]
[Translated
into Italian and reprinted in M. Lombardi and R. Tamborini
(eds), The Contributions of Cognitive Sciences
to Economic Theory, Bologna, in press]
[Translated
into Russian and reprinted in A. Poletayev (ed.),
THESIS: Theory and History of Social and Economic
Institutions and Systems, No. 5, Moscow, 1994,
pp. 29-80.]
Hershey,
J. C., Kunreuther, H. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H.,
"Sources of Bias in Assessment Procedures for Utility
Functions," Management Science, Vol. 28,
No. 8, Aug. 1982, pp. 936-954.
[Reprinted
in D. Bell, H. Raiffa and A. Tversky (eds.) Decision
Making, New York: Cambridge University Press,
1986]
1984
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Optimality Principles in Science: Some
Epistemological Issues" in The Quest for Optimality,
J. H. P. Paelinck and P. H. Vossen (eds.), Gower PublishingCo.,
1984, pp. 4-31.
1985
Hershey,
J. C., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Probability vs.
Certainty Equivalence Methods in Utility Measurement:
Are They Equivalent?" Management Science,
Vol. 31, No. 10, Oct. 1985, pp. 1213-1231.
1988
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Waid, C. C., "A Probabilistic Dominance
Measure for Binary Choices: Analytic Aspects of A Multi-attribute
Random Weights Model, Journal of Mathematical Psychology,
Vol. 32 (2), June 1988, pp. 169-191.
1989
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Preferences for Information on Probabilities
versus Prizes: The Role of Risk-Taking Attitudes,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1989, 2, pp.
37-60.
Russo,
J. E., and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Decision Audits,"
Across the Board, Dec. 1989, pp. 47-53. *
1990
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Are Risk-attitudes Related Across Payoff
Domains and Response Modes?", Management Science,
Vol. 36, No. 12, Dec. 1990, pp. 1451-1463.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Strategy, Complexity, and Economic Rent,"
Management Science, Vol. 36, No. 10, Oct. 1990,
pp. 1178-1192.
Russo,
J. E. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "The Overconfidence
Quiz," Harvard Business Review, Sept./Oct.
1990. *
1991
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Choices Involving Uncertain Probabilities:
Tests of Generalized Utility Models," Journal
of Economic and Organizational Behavior, Vol. 16,
1991, pp. 295-317.
[Reprinted
in Richard H. Day and Vernon L. Smith (eds), Experiments
in Decision, Organization and Exchange, Amsterdam:
North-Holland, 1993, Chapter 4, pp. 23-45]
Russo,
J.E. and Schoemaker, P.J.H., Decision Traps and How
To Avoid Them," Chemical Engineering, May
1991, pp. 181-185. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "When and How To Use Scenario Planning,"
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 10, 1991, pp. 549-564.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "The Quest for Optimality: A Positive
Heuristic of Science?", The Behavioral and Brain
Sciences, Vol. 14, No. 2, 1991, pp. 205-215.
[Reprinted
in B. Caldwell (ed.), The Philosophy and Methodology
of Economics, Vol. II, Edward Elgar Publishing
Ltd., Cheltenham, UK, 1993, pp. 260-270]
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "The Strategy of Optimality Revisited,"
The Behavioral and Brain Sciences, Vol. 14, No.
2, 1991, pp. 237-246.
1992
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Hershey, J. C., "Utility Measurement:
Signal, Noise and Bias," Organizational Behavior
and Human Decision Processes 52, 1992, pp. 397-424.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Subjective Expected Utility Theory Revisited:
A Reductio Ad Absurdum Paradox," Theory and
Decision, Vol. 33, 1992, pp. 1-21.
Russo,
J. E. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Managing Overconfidence,"
Sloan Management Review, Winter, 1992, pp. 7-18.
*
[Translated
into Dutch and reprinted in The Holland Management
Review, 1992.]
[Translated
into Italian and reprinted in Sviluppo & Organizzazione,
Bocconi University, Milan, 1993]
Schoemaker,
P.J.H. and C.A.J.M. van der Heijden, "Integrating
Scenarios into Strategic Planning at Royal Dutch/Shell,"
Planning Review, Vol. 20 (3), 1992, pp.41-46.
*
[Winner
of First Prize for Best Case Study in Planning
Review during 1992]
[Reprinted
in Peter Lorange (ed.), Strategic Planning Process,
Dartmouth Publishing Co. Aldershot, Hants, England,
1994, pp. 43-48]
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "How To Link Strategic Vision to Core
Capabilities," Sloan Management Review,
Fall 1992, Vol. 34 (1), pp. 67-81. *
[Translated
into Dutch and reprinted in The Holland Management
Review, 1993]
[Reprinted in Strategy: Process, Content and Context,
B. de Wit and R. Meyer (eds), West Publishing Co.,
N.Y., 1994, pp. 252-260.]
1993
Amit,
R. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Strategic Assets
and Organizational Rent," Strategic Management
Journal, Vol. 14 (1), January 1993, pp. 33-46.
[Awarded
Best Paper Prize by the Strategic Management Society
- in 2000]
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Determinants of Risk-Taking: Behavioral
and Economic Views", Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
, Vol. 6, 1993, pp. 49-73.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Strategic Decisions in Organizations:
Rational and Behavioral Views," Journal of Management
Studies, Vol. 30 (1), 1993, 107-129.
Klayman,
J. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Thinking About the
Future: A Cognitive Perspective," Journal of
Forecasting, Vol. 12, 1993, pp. 161-186.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "Multiple Scenario Development: Its Conceptual
and Behavioral Foundation," Strategic Management
Journal, Vol. 14 1993, pp. 193-213.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and van der Heijden, C. A. J. M., "Strategic
Planning at Royal Dutch/Shell," Journal of Strategic
Change, Vol. 2, 1993, pp. 157-171. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Russo, J. E., " A Pyramid of Decision
Approaches," California Management Review,
Vol. 36 (1), Fall 1993, pp. 9-31. *
[Reprinted
in Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends
and Challenges, Sixto Rios (ed.), Kluwer Academic
Publishers, MA., Norwell, pp. 53-78]
[Reprinted
in German in the Harvard Business Manager,
Vol. 16 (3), 1994]
1994
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Hershey, J.C. "CE-PE Bias and Probability
Level: An Anchoring Model of Their Interaction,"
in B. Munier and M. Machina (eds.), Models and Experiments
in Risk and Rationality, Kluwer Academic Publishers,
Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1994, pp. 35-55.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Amit, R. "Investment in Strategic
Assets: Industry and Firm-Level Perspectives",
in P. Shrivastava, A. Huff and J. Dutton, (eds), Advances
in Strategic Management, JAI Press, Inc., Vol. 10a,
1994, pp. 3-33.
1995
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. "Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic
Thinking," Sloan Management Review, Vol.
36 (2), Winter 1995, pp. 25-40. *
[Top
Ten in terms of all-time reprint requests from the
Sloan Management Review]
Schoemaker,
P.J.H. and Schoemaker, J. A. "Estimating Environmental
Liability: Quantifying the Unknown," California
Management Review, Vol. 37 (3), Spring 1995, pp.
29-61. *
[Reprinted
as Chapter 11 in Strategic Development, by R.G. Dyson
and F.A. O'Brien (eds.), Wiley, NY, 1998]
1996
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Hershey, J. C., "Maximizing Your Chance
of Winning: The Long and Short of It Revisited,"
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,
Vol. 65, No. 3, March, pp. 194-200.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Marais, L., "Technological Innovation
and Large Firm Inertia," in G. Dosi and F. Malerba
(eds), Organization and Strategy in the Evolution
of the Enterprise, London: MacMillan, 1996.
1997
Schoemaker,
P.J.H. and Amit, R. "The Competitive Dynamics of
Capabilities: Developing Strategic Assets for Multiple
Futures," in Wharton on Dynamic Competitive
Strategy, G. Day and D. Reibstein (eds.), Wiley,
pp. 368-394.
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. "Disciplined Imagination: From Scenarios
to Strategic Options," in International Studies
of Management & Organization, Vol. 27, No. 2,
Summer 1997, pp. 43-70. *
1998
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. "Twenty Common Pitfalls in Scenario Planning,"
Chapter 25 in Learning from the Future, Chapter
25 in L. Fahey & R. Randall (eds), John Wiley &
Sons, 1998, pp. 422-431. *
2000
Day,
G. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Avoiding the Pitfalls
of Emerging Technologies," California Management
Review, Winter Issue, 2000, Vol. 42, No. 2, pp.
8-33. *
Day,
G. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "A Different Game,"
Chapter 1 in George Day and Paul Schoemaker (eds), Wharton
on Managing Emerging Technologies, Wiley, April
2000. *
Day,
G. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Avoiding the Pitfalls
of Emerging Technologies," Chapter 2 in George
Day and Paul Schoemaker (eds), Wharton on Managing
Emerging Technologies, Wiley, April 2000. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Mavaddat, M.V., "Scenario Planning
for Disruptive Technologies," Chapter 10 in George
Day and Paul Schoemaker (eds), Wharton on Managing
Emerging Technologies, Wiley, April 2000. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Shapiro, A., "Innovative Financing
Strategies for Biotechnology Ventures," Chapter
14 in George Day and Paul Schoemaker (eds), Wharton
on Managing Emerging Technologies, Wiley, April
2000. *
Day,
G. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., "Don't Hesitate to
Innovate," Financial Times, Mastering Management
Series, Part Two, Oct. 9, 2000, pp. 2-4. *
2001
Schoemaker,
P. J. H. and Russo, J. Edward., "Managing Frames
to Make Better Decisions," Chapter 8 in S. Hoch
and H. Kunreuther (eds), Wharton on Making Decisions,
Wiley, April 2001, pp. 131-155. *
Schoemaker,
P. J. H., "The Elusive Search for Integration,"
Chapter 8 in Rethinking Strategy, by H. W. Volberda
and T. Elfring (eds.), Sage Publications, London, 2001.
2003
Day, G. S. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., “Driving Through the Fog: Managing at The Edge” Long Range Planning, Vol. 37, No. 2, April 2004, pp. 127-142.*
Schoemaker, P. J. H. “Using Scenarios in Strategic Planning” Chapter 12 in R&D Meets M&A, by A. Daemmrich (ed), Philadelphia: Chemical Heritage Press, 2004, pp. 81-90.*
Schoemaker, P. J. H. and Schuurmans, F. “Opportunity in Uncertainty: Techniques for Turning an Unpredictable Future to Your Advantage” Association Management, 2003, Vol. 55, pp. 49-52.*
2004
Schoemaker, P. J. H, "Organizational Renewal: Overcoming Mental Blindspots,” Chapter 2 in The Many Facets of Leadership, M. Goldsmith, V. Govindarajan, B. Kaye and A. Vicere (eds), Financial Times - Prentice Hall, NJ, 2003.*
Schoemaker, P. J. H. “A Reply to: Huygens's Principle - A Case Against Optimality,” The Behavioral and Brain Sciences, Vol., No. , 2003, pp.
Schoemaker, P. J. H., “Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity, Chapter 14 in Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, D.J. Koehler and N. Harvey (eds), Malden, MA: Blackwell Publishing, 2004, pp. 274-296.
2005
Schoemaker, P. J. H. “Navigating Uncertainty: From Scenarios to Flexible Options” in The Blackwell Encyclopedia of Management, Michael A Hitt and R. Duane Ireland (eds), Malden, MA: Blackwell Publishing. III: pp. 190-193.
Day, G. S. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., “Scanning the Periphery” Harvard Business Review, Nov-Dec. 2005.*
Hogarth, R. S. and Schoemaker, P. J. H., Book Review of Blink, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, (in press).
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